I have been
following the story of Bond Notes introduction in Zimbabwe with keen interest. The
different schools of thought are divided and the man on the street is now
confused mostly resorting to settling for what they know, “the Bearer Cheque”
experience and lessons. For a few people they are able to make sense of what is
happening while for the majority they just assumed it is Zimbabwean dollar or
paper so it is bound to cause chaos, pain and suffering. But where is the
truth, where is the sound economic debates about the Bond Notes? I wish we
could simply open up textbooks about monetary policy and find an answer, throw
in a “ceteris paribus” maxim and solve the problem. But my love for economics
has also opened my eyes to its biggest shortcoming, “ceteris paribus” will
never happen in the real world. It helps understand things one moment in time
but once the seconds tick on economies everything changes and you are observing
too many moving targets you can only guess which one is the cause and effect. Even
if you are very wrong, you can always be right because there is no wrong answer
in economic debates, only the future can provide some pointers of what the past
has been. I’ve read pieces by people like Edmund Kudzayi (of the Baba Jukwa
fame), he believes the bond notes will do no harm to the economy, Sharon Bwanya
an astute legal person sees the holes in Edmund’s discourse. Thomas Masiya of
the Maison De La Marsia stands by Edmund, Obert Mundevere Ncube thinks that
Edmund had a damascene moment ever since his troubles with the Zimbabwean
authorities so he no longer sees or hear evil. I have decided to jump into the Bond Notes debate, I hope I can
come out alive and able to defend my thoughts so here goes.